Serie A · Matchweek 4

US Lecce vs AC Monza Prediction

Sun 13 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Lecce win29%

Draw24%

AC Monza win47%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 58%
Under 2.5 goals: 42%
BTTS yes: 60%

Over 1.5 goals: 80%
Over 3.5 goals: 36%
BTTS no: 40%
Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.71

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees US Lecce's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. AC Monza have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.9%
1–29.4%
0–18.4%
0–27.2%
2–17.1%
1–06.4%
2–26.1%
1–35.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	US Lecce	AC Monza
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.20	0.80
Goals per match	1.00	1.60
Goals conceded per match	2.00	2.40
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	6	8
Last 5 points	6	4
Last 5 goals scored	5	8
Last 5 goals conceded	10	12
Win percentage	40%	20%

US Lecce recent form

WLLWL

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

US Lecce

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Cagliari Calcio0–1
Lvs AS Roma0–4
Wat Venezia FC2–0
Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
Wat US Sassuolo Calcio3–2

AC Monza

0W 1D 2L in the last 3 · 4 scored, 8 conceded

Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
Lat Inter Milan1–4

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.