Serie A · Matchweek 3

Udinese Calcio vs SS Lazio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 7 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win29%
Draw26%
SS Lazio win46%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.50

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SS Lazio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 0–07.2%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–25.2%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioSS Lazio
Matches played1111
Points per match0.452.64
Goals per match1.092.27
Goals conceded per match2.270.82
Home / away goals scored415
Home / away goals conceded144
Last 5 points113
Last 5 goals scored314
Last 5 goals conceded125
Win percentage9%82%

Udinese Calcio recent form

LLDLL

SS Lazio recent form

WWWWD

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat AC Monza3–2
  • Dvs Como 19071–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Lvs US Cremonese0–1
  • Wat Cagliari Calcio2–0

SS Lazio

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
  • Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1
  • Lat AS Roma0–2
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 7 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 7 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.