Serie A · Matchweek 5

Udinese Calcio vs Cagliari Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win26%
Draw24%
Cagliari Calcio win50%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Under 2.5 goals
47%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
1.13 – 1.68

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Cagliari Calcio with an above-average away defensive record. Cagliari Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–28.5%
  • 1–06.8%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 0–06.1%
  • 2–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioCagliari Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.40
Goals per match1.601.00
Goals conceded per match2.200.40
Home / away goals scored24
Home / away goals conceded41
Last 5 points412
Last 5 goals scored85
Last 5 goals conceded112
Win percentage20%80%

Udinese Calcio recent form

DWLLL

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Inter Milan3–5
  • Lvs SS Lazio1–2
  • Wat AC Monza3–2
  • Dvs Como 19071–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1

Cagliari Calcio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wvs US Lecce1–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–1
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0
  • Wat AC Milan2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.