Serie A · Matchweek 13

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 11:30 (GMT)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Udinese Calcio win20%
Draw19%
ACF Fiorentina win61%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.30 – 2.34

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Udinese Calcio's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. ACF Fiorentina have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. ACF Fiorentina carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–18.0%
  • 1–37.3%
  • 0–27.2%
  • 0–16.2%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 0–35.6%
  • 2–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticUdinese CalcioACF Fiorentina
Matches played1111
Points per match0.450.82
Goals per match1.091.55
Goals conceded per match2.272.27
Home / away goals scored410
Home / away goals conceded1412
Last 5 points15
Last 5 goals scored310
Last 5 goals conceded1211
Win percentage9%18%

Udinese Calcio recent form

LLDLL

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLDWD

Recent form

Udinese Calcio

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Venezia FC1–2
  • Lvs AS Roma2–5
  • Dat Parma Calcio 19130–0
  • Lvs AC Milan0–2
  • Lvs US Lecce0–3

ACF Fiorentina

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dvs Juventus2–2
  • Wat US Sassuolo Calcio4–2
  • Dvs Atalanta BC2–2
  • Lat Inter Milan1–2
  • Lvs Como 19071–3

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 11:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.