Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 7
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 (GMT+0)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win38%
Draw20%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win42%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 80%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 20%
- BTTS yes
- 78%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 62%
- BTTS no
- 22%
- Expected goals
- 2.07 – 2.19
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.3%
- 1–27.0%
- 2–16.6%
- 1–16.4%
- 2–35.3%
- 1–35.1%
- 3–25.0%
- 3–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Bayer 04 Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals per match | 1.75 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 50% |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form
LLWL
Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form
LWDW
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 14 conceded
- Lat SC Paderborn 071–3
- Wvs VfB Stuttgart2–1
- Lvs Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lat 1. FC Köln2–3
- Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Wvs RB Leipzig2–0
- Dat FC Augsburg2–2
- Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
- Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
- Dvs Hamburger SV1–1
Team news
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- Man United quoted £43m to complete transfer for 'tailor-made' target
- Newcastle United 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen: Mason Miley shows grit but Matthias Jaissle wants signings
- Jarell Quansah: Arsenal in talks with Bayer Leverkusen over signing England and former Liverpool defender
- Arsenal open talks with Bayer Leverkusen over deal for Jarell Quansah
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 512
- 1X2 accuracy
- 47.1%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.4%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.7%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin
Home
90%
Draw
7%
Away
4%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 55%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
1. FC Köln vs FC Schalke 04
Home
46%
Draw
22%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 66%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV
Home
72%
Draw
17%
Away
11%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 61%BTTS: 49%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.