Serie A · Matchweek 4

Torino FC vs AS Roma Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Torino FC win8%
Draw12%
AS Roma win79%
Predicted score
0–2
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
54%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
0.89 – 3.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Roma have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AS Roma's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. AS Roma arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–29.3%
  • 0–39.2%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 1–38.2%
  • 0–46.9%
  • 0–16.2%
  • 1–46.2%
  • 1–15.5%

Team comparison

StatisticTorino FCAS Roma
Matches played1111
Points per match1.272.45
Goals per match1.362.82
Goals conceded per match1.550.91
Home / away goals scored814
Home / away goals conceded115
Last 5 points713
Last 5 goals scored817
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage36%73%

Torino FC recent form

WWLLD

AS Roma recent form

WDWWW

Recent form

Torino FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat ACF Fiorentina2–1
  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio1–2
  • Lvs AC Milan1–2
  • Dvs Juventus2–2
  • Lat Cagliari Calcio1–2

AS Roma

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 2 conceded

  • Dat Fenerbahçe SK1–1
  • Wvs Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wat US Lecce4–0
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina4–0
  • Wat Hellas Verona FC2–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.