Championship · Matchweek 11

Swansea City AFC vs West Ham United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Swansea City AFC win36%
Draw23%
West Ham United FC win41%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals
37%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
41%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.71

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits West Ham United FC with an above-average away defensive record. West Ham United FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.5%
  • 1–05.9%
  • 0–25.5%
  • 1–34.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSwansea City AFCWest Ham United FC
Matches played1415
Points per match1.641.53
Goals per match1.432.47
Goals conceded per match1.211.53
Home / away goals scored1119
Home / away goals conceded312
Last 5 points34
Last 5 goals scored68
Last 5 goals conceded1111
Win percentage50%40%

Swansea City AFC recent form

LLWLL

West Ham United FC recent form

WLLDL

Recent form

Swansea City AFC

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Millwall FC1–0
  • Wvs Norwich City FC2–1
  • Wat Lincoln City FC2–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–3

West Ham United FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 18 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Lincoln City FC6–0
  • Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC1–1
  • Dat Millwall FC2–2
  • Wvs Wrexham AFC6–0
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC3–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.