Championship · Matchweek 18

Swansea City AFC vs Cardiff City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 12:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 18
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Swansea City AFC win53%
Draw23%
Cardiff City FC win24%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Under 2.5 goals
44%
BTTS yes
57%
Over 1.5 goals
79%
Over 3.5 goals
34%
BTTS no
43%
Expected goals
1.80 – 1.15

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Cardiff City FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Swansea City AFC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 0–16.0%
  • 3–15.8%
  • 2–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticSwansea City AFCCardiff City FC
Matches played1415
Points per match1.641.20
Goals per match1.431.80
Goals conceded per match1.211.80
Home / away goals scored116
Home / away goals conceded314
Last 5 points38
Last 5 goals scored611
Last 5 goals conceded1112
Win percentage50%27%

Swansea City AFC recent form

LLWLL

Cardiff City FC recent form

DWLDW

Recent form

Swansea City AFC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Lat Portsmouth FC1–3
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers FC4–0
  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC0–5
  • Lvs West Ham United FC0–1

Cardiff City FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs Burnley FC5–4
  • Dvs West Ham United FC3–3
  • Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0–3
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC1–0
  • Dat Middlesbrough FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.