Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 7
Swansea City AFC vs Burnley FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Swansea City AFC win67%
Draw21%
Burnley FC win12%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 55%
- BTTS yes
- 39%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 71%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS no
- 61%
- Expected goals
- 1.84 – 0.63
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Swansea City AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. Burnley FC have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Swansea City AFC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.6%
- 2–014.4%
- 1–19.8%
- 2–19.0%
- 3–08.8%
- 0–08.5%
- 3–15.5%
- 0–15.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Swansea City AFC | Burnley FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 15 |
| Points per match | 1.64 | 0.67 |
| Goals per match | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.21 | 2.07 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 21 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 2 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 7% |
Swansea City AFC recent form
LLWLL
Burnley FC recent form
LLDDL
Recent form
Swansea City AFC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded
- Lat Southampton FC1–3
- Dvs Wrexham AFC0–0
- Wvs Watford FC2–0
- Wat Derby County FC3–0
- Dvs Sheffield United FC0–0
Burnley FC
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Dat Wrexham AFC1–1
- Lvs Bristol City FC1–2
- Dvs Middlesbrough FC1–1
- Lat Norwich City FC1–4
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC1–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.