Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

SV 07 Elversberg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV 07 Elversberg win31%
Draw18%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win50%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
BTTS yes
82%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
71%
BTTS no
18%
Expected goals
2.14 – 2.70

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits 1. FSV Mainz 05 with an above-average away defensive record. 1. FSV Mainz 05 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.6%
  • 1–26.2%
  • 2–35.9%
  • 1–35.5%
  • 2–14.9%
  • 3–24.7%
  • 1–14.6%
  • 3–34.3%

Team comparison

StatisticSV 07 Elversberg1. FSV Mainz 05
Matches played44
Points per match1.751.75
Goals per match2.002.50
Goals conceded per match1.751.50
Home / away goals scored49
Home / away goals conceded43
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded76
Win percentage50%50%

SV 07 Elversberg recent form

WWLD

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

DWLW

Recent form

SV 07 Elversberg

2W 1D 1L in the last 4 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat FC Schalke 040–0
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1–2
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
  • Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–2

1. FSV Mainz 05

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
  • Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
  • Wat Hamburger SV5–0
  • Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
  • Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 30 Oct, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
529
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
57.1%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.4%
Exact score
11.0%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.