Premier League · Matchweek 8

Sunderland AFC vs Leeds United FC Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 16:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 (GMT+0)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sunderland AFC win24%

Draw28%

Leeds United FC win48%

Predicted score: 0–1
Over 2.5 goals: 37%
Under 2.5 goals: 63%
BTTS yes: 42%

Over 1.5 goals: 64%
Over 3.5 goals: 18%
BTTS no: 58%
Expected goals: 0.85 – 1.33

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Sunderland AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model credits Leeds United FC with an above-average away defensive record. Leeds United FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

0–115.0%
1–112.8%
0–011.3%
0–29.9%
1–09.7%
1–28.5%
2–15.5%
0–34.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	Sunderland AFC	Leeds United FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	1.80
Goals per match	1.20	1.40
Goals conceded per match	2.00	0.60
Home / away goals scored	1	2
Home / away goals conceded	2	1
Last 5 points	4	9
Last 5 goals scored	6	7
Last 5 goals conceded	10	3
Win percentage	20%	40%

Sunderland AFC recent form

LWDLL

Leeds United FC recent form

WDDWD

Recent form

Sunderland AFC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

Lat Manchester City FC3–5
Lvs Arsenal FC0–2
Dat Brentford FC1–1
Wvs Fulham FC1–0
Lat Ipswich Town FC1–2

Leeds United FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 3 conceded

Dvs Crystal Palace FC0–0
Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
Dat Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1
Dvs Brentford FC1–1
Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.