Championship · Matchweek 8

Stoke City FC vs Sheffield United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Stoke City FC win58%
Draw23%
Sheffield United FC win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Under 2.5 goals
46%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
77%
Over 3.5 goals
31%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.97

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Stoke City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Sheffield United FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Stoke City FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Stoke City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–011.0%
  • 1–110.7%
  • 2–010.2%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 3–06.3%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 0–05.9%
  • 0–15.8%

Team comparison

StatisticStoke City FCSheffield United FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.861.14
Goals per match1.711.29
Goals conceded per match1.431.57
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded15
Last 5 points136
Last 5 goals scored107
Last 5 goals conceded39
Win percentage57%29%

Stoke City FC recent form

WWDWW

Sheffield United FC recent form

WLWLL

Recent form

Stoke City FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wat Watford FC2–1
  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
  • Wvs Norwich City FC1–0
  • Lat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–4

Sheffield United FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0–1
  • Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Lvs Norwich City FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–2
  • Dat Cardiff City FC2–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.