Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 17
Stoke City FC vs Millwall FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Wed 25 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 17
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stoke City FC win74%
Draw16%
Millwall FC win10%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 39%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 2.41 – 0.77
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Millwall FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Stoke City FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Stoke City FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–012.1%
- 1–010.0%
- 3–09.7%
- 2–19.3%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–17.5%
- 4–05.9%
- 4–14.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stoke City FC | Millwall FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| Goals per match | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.93 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 18 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 29% |
Stoke City FC recent form
WDWWW
Millwall FC recent form
DLWLL
Recent form
Stoke City FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–1
- Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–0
- Dvs Bristol City FC0–0
- Wat Derby County FC1–0
Millwall FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat West Bromwich Albion FC0–3
- Lat Birmingham City FC0–3
- Wvs Derby County FC4–1
- Lat Portsmouth FC1–2
- Dvs Lincoln City FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.