Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 10
Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stoke City FC win55%
Draw22%
Middlesbrough FC win23%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 1.94 – 1.18
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Stoke City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Middlesbrough FC with an above-average away defensive record. Middlesbrough FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 3–16.3%
- 1–26.0%
- 2–25.8%
- 3–05.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stoke City FC | Middlesbrough FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 2.07 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 1.64 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 50% |
Stoke City FC recent form
WDWWW
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWLD
Recent form
Stoke City FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Bolton Wanderers FC2–1
- Wvs Sheffield United FC2–1
- Wat Watford FC2–1
- Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
Middlesbrough FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC1–0
- Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
- Dvs Millwall FC2–2
- Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.