Championship · Matchweek 10

Stoke City FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 13 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Stoke City FC win56%
Draw22%
Middlesbrough FC win22%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
BTTS yes
59%
Over 1.5 goals
82%
Over 3.5 goals
38%
BTTS no
41%
Expected goals
1.96 – 1.15

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Stoke City FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Middlesbrough FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.0%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.7%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 3–16.4%
  • 1–25.8%
  • 2–25.7%
  • 3–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticStoke City FCMiddlesbrough FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.861.71
Goals per match1.712.00
Goals conceded per match1.431.57
Home / away goals scored75
Home / away goals conceded15
Last 5 points139
Last 5 goals scored1010
Last 5 goals conceded38
Win percentage57%43%

Stoke City FC recent form

WWDWW

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWDD

Recent form

Stoke City FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Sheffield United FC2–1
  • Wat Watford FC2–1
  • Dat Cardiff City FC1–1
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC4–0
  • Wvs Norwich City FC1–0

Middlesbrough FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
  • Dvs Millwall FC2–2
  • Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
  • Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
  • Dat Burnley FC1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 22 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.