Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 16
Stoke City FC vs Birmingham City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 16
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stoke City FC win38%
Draw27%
Birmingham City FC win35%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 53%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.31 – 1.24
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Birmingham City FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Birmingham City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.2%
- 0–19.7%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–27.9%
- 0–07.8%
- 2–06.7%
- 0–26.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stoke City FC | Birmingham City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 2.07 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.64 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.14 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 64% | 57% |
Stoke City FC recent form
WDWWW
Birmingham City FC recent form
WLWWW
Recent form
Stoke City FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 2 conceded
- Wat Portsmouth FC2–1
- Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
- Wvs Preston North End FC2–0
- Dvs Bristol City FC0–0
- Wat Derby County FC1–0
Birmingham City FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs Swansea City AFC2–1
- Wvs Millwall FC3–0
- Wat Lincoln City FC3–1
- Lat Cardiff City FC0–1
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC3–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
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Draw
17%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.