Serie A
Genoa CFC vs ACF Fiorentina
Home
30%
Draw
23%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 64%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
SSC Napoli vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SSC Napoli win28%
Draw26%
Frosinone Calcio win47%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.10 – 1.50
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Frosinone Calcio with an above-average away defensive record. Frosinone Calcio carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Frosinone Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–07.5%
- 2–16.7%
- 2–25.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SSC Napoli | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 2 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 4 |
| Win percentage | 40% | 60% |
SSC Napoli recent form
WLLWD
Frosinone Calcio recent form
LWWDW
Recent form
SSC Napoli
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
- Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Inter Milan2–3
- Lvs Como 19071–2
Frosinone Calcio
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Como 19072–0
- Dat Genoa CFC1–1
- Wvs Venezia FC3–2
- Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
- Lvs Juventus0–1
Team news
SSC Napoli
- Napoli and Roma return to training, Inter, Milan, Como enjoy break: Serie A clubs' international schedule
- Scott McTominay transfer 'could become a reality' in major twist for ex-Man United star
- Scott McTominay's recovery timeline revealed ahead of ex-Man United star's heart surgery
- Football transfer rumours: Folarin Balogun to Tottenham? Gabriel Jesus to Napoli?
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Serie A
US Lecce vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
39%
Draw
28%
Away
34%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 43%BTTS: 49%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs Juventus
Home
36%
Draw
28%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 47%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Udinese Calcio vs US Lecce
Home
42%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 52%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.