Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
SSC Napoli vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SSC Napoli win28%
Draw26%
Frosinone Calcio win46%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 52%
- BTTS yes
- 52%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 73%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS no
- 48%
- Expected goals
- 1.11 – 1.50
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees SSC Napoli's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model credits Frosinone Calcio with an above-average away defensive record. Frosinone Calcio carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Frosinone Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 0–111.1%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–08.2%
- 0–07.4%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–25.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SSC Napoli | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.36 | 1.82 |
| Goals per match | 1.64 | 2.18 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.36 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 55% |
SSC Napoli recent form
LDWLD
Frosinone Calcio recent form
WDWWL
Recent form
SSC Napoli
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
- Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Inter Milan2–3
- Lvs Como 19071–2
Frosinone Calcio
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs Como 19072–0
- Dat Genoa CFC1–1
- Wvs Venezia FC3–2
- Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
- Lvs Juventus0–1
Team news
SSC Napoli
- Scott McTominay transfer 'could become a reality' in major twist for ex-Man United star
- Man United handed update on sensational Scott McTominay return after transfer 'enquiry'
- Napoli and Roma return to training, Inter, Milan, Como enjoy break: Serie A clubs' international schedule
- Scott McTominay's recovery timeline revealed ahead of ex-Man United star's heart surgery
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
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20%
Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
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- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.