UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV vs Liverpool FC
Home
46%
Draw
17%
Away
37%
- Predicted score: 2–2Over 2.5: 93%BTTS: 89%
Low confidenceFull prediction
UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3
SSC Napoli vs FK Bodø/Glimt Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SSC Napoli win54%
Draw22%
FK Bodø/Glimt win24%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 2.00 – 1.27
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SSC Napoli have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against FK Bodø/Glimt, who have shipped goals above the UEFA Champions League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.2%
- 2–26.1%
- 3–05.0%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SSC Napoli | FK Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 11 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 25% |
SSC Napoli recent form
LLWL
FK Bodø/Glimt recent form
LWLD
Recent form
SSC Napoli
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat Venezia FC0–1
- Lat Villarreal CF1–3
- Wvs Frosinone Calcio3–0
- Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
- Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
FK Bodø/Glimt
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs Borussia Dortmund1–0
- Lat Bayern Munich0–5
- Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal0–5
- Wvs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–0
- Wat Inter Milan2–1
Team news
SSC Napoli
- Scott McTominay transfer 'could become a reality' in major twist for ex-Man United star
- Man United handed update on sensational Scott McTominay return after transfer 'enquiry'
- Napoli and Roma return to training, Inter, Milan, Como enjoy break: Serie A clubs' international schedule
- Scott McTominay's recovery timeline revealed ahead of ex-Man United star's heart surgery
Where to watch (UK)
UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 September 2026
Last updated: 20 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Paris Saint-Germain vs AS Roma
Home
82%
Draw
9%
Away
8%
- Predicted score: 4–1Over 2.5: 92%BTTS: 77%
Low confidenceFull prediction
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Lille OSC vs Bayern Munich
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Draw
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.