UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

SSC Napoli vs FK Bodø/Glimt Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SSC Napoli win67%
Draw18%
FK Bodø/Glimt win14%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
40%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
2.28 – 0.94

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SSC Napoli have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against FK Bodø/Glimt, who have shipped goals above the UEFA Champions League average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.3%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–07.9%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 2–24.6%
  • 4–04.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSSC NapoliFK Bodø/Glimt
Matches played11
Points per match0.000.00
Goals per match0.000.00
Goals conceded per match1.005.00
Home / away goals scored00
Home / away goals conceded15
Last 5 points00
Last 5 goals scored00
Last 5 goals conceded15
Win percentage0%0%

SSC Napoli recent form

L

FK Bodø/Glimt recent form

L

Recent form

SSC Napoli

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan2–3
  • Lvs Como 19071–2

FK Bodø/Glimt

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Bayern Munich0–5
  • Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal0–5
  • Wvs Sporting Clube de Portugal3–0
  • Wat Inter Milan2–1
  • Wvs Inter Milan3–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.