Serie A · Matchweek 4

SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SSC Napoli win44%
Draw27%
Bologna FC 1909 win28%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 1–012.4%
  • 0–19.4%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 1–26.6%
  • 0–24.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSSC NapoliBologna FC 1909
Matches played55
Points per match1.400.40
Goals per match1.400.60
Goals conceded per match1.201.20
Home / away goals scored20
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points72
Last 5 goals scored73
Last 5 goals conceded66
Win percentage40%0%

SSC Napoli recent form

WLLWD

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

SSC Napoli

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan2–3
  • Lvs Como 19071–2
  • Wat Genoa CFC2–0
  • Wvs Udinese Calcio1–0

Bologna FC 1909

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1
  • Dvs Inter Milan3–3
  • Wat Atalanta BC1–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.