Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 4
SSC Napoli vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SSC Napoli win44%
Draw27%
Bologna FC 1909 win28%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS yes
- 48%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 52%
- Expected goals
- 1.36 – 1.03
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.8%
- 1–012.4%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–09.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 2–08.5%
- 1–26.6%
- 0–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SSC Napoli | Bologna FC 1909 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 1.36 | 1.55 |
| Goals per match | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 11 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 45% |
SSC Napoli recent form
LDWLD
Bologna FC 1909 recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
SSC Napoli
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 6 conceded
- Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
- Lat Inter Milan2–3
- Lvs Como 19071–2
- Wat Genoa CFC2–0
- Wvs Udinese Calcio1–0
Bologna FC 1909
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded
- Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
- Lat Atalanta BC0–1
- Lvs SS Lazio0–1
- Dvs Inter Milan3–3
- Wat Atalanta BC1–0
Team news
SSC Napoli
- Scott McTominay transfer 'could become a reality' in major twist for ex-Man United star
- Man United handed update on sensational Scott McTominay return after transfer 'enquiry'
- Napoli and Roma return to training, Inter, Milan, Como enjoy break: Serie A clubs' international schedule
- Scott McTominay's recovery timeline revealed ahead of ex-Man United star's heart surgery
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.