Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 12
SS Lazio vs US Lecce Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SS Lazio win76%
Draw14%
US Lecce win9%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 70%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 30%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 2.75 – 0.88
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
SS Lazio have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given SS Lazio's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour SS Lazio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.0%
- 3–09.2%
- 2–18.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 1–07.3%
- 1–16.4%
- 4–06.3%
- 4–15.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SS Lazio | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.64 | 0.91 |
| Goals per match | 2.27 | 1.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 82% | 27% |
SS Lazio recent form
WWWWD
US Lecce recent form
WLLLD
Recent form
SS Lazio
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat SSC Napoli1–1
- Wvs Cagliari Calcio2–1
- Wat US Sassuolo Calcio6–2
- Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–1
- Wat Juventus3–0
US Lecce
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded
- Dat Torino FC1–1
- Lvs Genoa CFC1–2
- Lat Frosinone Calcio1–5
- Lvs Juventus0–2
- Wat Udinese Calcio3–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
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20%
Draw
18%
Away
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.