Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 6
SS Lazio vs AC Monza Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SS Lazio win68%
Draw18%
AC Monza win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.45 – 1.07
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against AC Monza, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. SS Lazio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour SS Lazio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–17.7%
- 3–07.3%
- 1–07.3%
- 2–25.1%
- 4–14.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SS Lazio | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.64 | 0.64 |
| Goals per match | 2.27 | 1.55 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 2.27 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 16 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 82% | 18% |
SS Lazio recent form
WWWWD
AC Monza recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
SS Lazio
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat Venezia FC2–0
- Dvs AC Milan2–2
- Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
- Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
- Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
AC Monza
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded
- Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
- Lat US Lecce2–3
- Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
- Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
- Lat Inter Milan1–4
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
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Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.