Serie A · Matchweek 6

SS Lazio vs AC Monza Prediction

Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SS Lazio win68%

Draw18%

AC Monza win15%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 69%
Under 2.5 goals: 31%
BTTS yes: 60%

Over 1.5 goals: 87%
Over 3.5 goals: 47%
BTTS no: 40%
Expected goals: 2.46 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against AC Monza, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. SS Lazio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour SS Lazio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.5%
2–08.8%
3–17.8%
1–17.7%
3–07.2%
1–07.2%
2–25.1%
4–14.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	SS Lazio	AC Monza
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	0.80
Goals per match	1.60	1.60
Goals conceded per match	0.60	2.40
Home / away goals scored	3	4
Home / away goals conceded	2	8
Last 5 points	13	4
Last 5 goals scored	8	8
Last 5 goals conceded	3	12
Win percentage	80%	20%

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

Recent form

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

Wat Venezia FC2–0
Dvs AC Milan2–2
Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
Wat Bologna FC 19091–0

AC Monza

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
Lat US Lecce2–3
Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
Lat Inter Milan1–4

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.