Serie A · Matchweek 4

SS Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

Sat 12 Sept, 17:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 4
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SS Lazio win41%

Draw27%

AC Milan win32%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 46%
Under 2.5 goals: 54%
BTTS yes: 51%

Over 1.5 goals: 72%
Over 3.5 goals: 25%
BTTS no: 49%
Expected goals: 1.35 – 1.17

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits AC Milan with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SS Lazio's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.7%
1–010.8%
0–19.4%
2–18.6%
0–08.0%
1–27.5%
2–07.3%
0–25.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	SS Lazio	AC Milan
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	2.20
Goals per match	1.60	2.00
Goals conceded per match	0.60	0.80
Home / away goals scored	3	5
Home / away goals conceded	2	4
Last 5 points	13	11
Last 5 goals scored	8	10
Last 5 goals conceded	3	4
Win percentage	80%	60%

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Recent form

SS Lazio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded

Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1
Lat AS Roma0–2

AC Milan

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

Dat Juventus1–1
Wvs Venezia FC2–0
Wat Torino FC2–1
Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
Wat Genoa CFC2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.