Serie A
Parma Calcio 1913 vs AS Roma
Home
8%
Draw
14%
Away
78%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A · Matchweek 4
SS Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Serie A
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SS Lazio win41%
Draw27%
AC Milan win32%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.35 – 1.17
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits AC Milan with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SS Lazio's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.8%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–08.0%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–25.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SS Lazio | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 11 |
| Points per match | 2.64 | 2.18 |
| Goals per match | 2.27 | 2.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| Home / away goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 14 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 82% | 64% |
SS Lazio recent form
WWWWD
AC Milan recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
SS Lazio
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
- Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
- Wat Bologna FC 19091–0
- Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1
- Lat AS Roma0–2
AC Milan
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat Juventus1–1
- Wvs Venezia FC2–0
- Wat Torino FC2–1
- Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
- Wat Genoa CFC2–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Serie A
Venezia FC vs Bologna FC 1909
Home
15%
Draw
20%
Away
64%
- Predicted score: 0–2Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
US Sassuolo Calcio vs SSC Napoli
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 69%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Serie A
Cagliari Calcio vs AC Milan
Home
16%
Draw
23%
Away
60%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 47%BTTS: 45%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.