UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Sporting Clube de Portugal vs LASK Linz Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sporting Clube de Portugal win79%
Draw12%
LASK Linz win9%
Predicted score
3–1
Over 2.5 goals
78%
Under 2.5 goals
22%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
92%
Over 3.5 goals
59%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
3.13 – 1.02

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given Sporting Clube de Portugal's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Sporting Clube de Portugal, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–18.3%
  • 3–08.1%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 4–16.5%
  • 4–06.3%
  • 1–15.1%
  • 1–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSporting Clube de PortugalLASK Linz
Matches played44
Points per match2.251.50
Goals per match2.002.50
Goals conceded per match1.002.25
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded43
Last 5 points96
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded49
Win percentage75%50%

Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form

WWLW

LASK Linz recent form

LLWW

Recent form

Sporting Clube de Portugal

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Racing Club de Lens2–0
  • Wat Sporting Clube de Braga3–1
  • Dvs FC Arouca2–2
  • Dat FC Famalicão1–1
  • Wvs Galatasaray3–1

LASK Linz

0W 0D 2L in the last 2 · 3 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lvs Liverpool FC3–6
  • Lat PAE AEK0–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 21 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 30 September 2026
Last updated: 21 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.