Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7
Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sporting Clube de Portugal win65%
Draw21%
FC Arouca win14%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 49%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 75%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.94 – 0.77
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Sporting Clube de Portugal, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. FC Arouca have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sporting Clube de Portugal's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Sporting Clube de Portugal, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.8%
- 2–012.5%
- 1–19.9%
- 2–19.7%
- 3–08.1%
- 0–06.6%
- 3–16.2%
- 0–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sporting Clube de Portugal | FC Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.22 | 1.70 |
| Goals per match | 2.11 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.78 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 10 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 67% | 50% |
Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form
DWLWW
FC Arouca recent form
DWWWL
Recent form
Sporting Clube de Portugal
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 3 conceded
- Dat FC Famalicão1–1
- Wvs Galatasaray3–1
- Wvs CD Nacional2–0
- Wat Rio Ave FC4–0
- Wvs FC Alverca3–1
FC Arouca
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Lvs CD Santa Clara1–2
- Dat GD Estoril Praia0–0
- Wvs CS Marítimo2–1
- Lat FC Porto0–2
- Wvs Moreirense FC4–0
Team news
Sporting Clube de Portugal
- Jesus, FPF chief fail in airport bid to stop Ronaldo leaving Portugal camp, Marca reports
- Cristiano Ronaldo, 41, continues with Portugal, named in Nations League squad
- Ronaldo included in Jesus' first Portugal squad
- Rafael Leao transfer news: Aston Villa make approach to sign Portugal forward who is open to leaving AC Milan
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.