Primeira Liga · Matchweek 7

Sporting Clube de Portugal vs FC Arouca Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sporting Clube de Portugal win65%
Draw21%
FC Arouca win14%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
1.94 – 0.77

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Sporting Clube de Portugal, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. FC Arouca have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Sporting Clube de Portugal's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Sporting Clube de Portugal, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.8%
  • 2–012.5%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 3–08.1%
  • 0–06.6%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 0–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSporting Clube de PortugalFC Arouca
Matches played56
Points per match2.201.33
Goals per match2.401.50
Goals conceded per match0.801.17
Home / away goals scored72
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points115
Last 5 goals scored125
Last 5 goals conceded47
Win percentage60%33%

Sporting Clube de Portugal recent form

WWWDD

FC Arouca recent form

LWDLD

Recent form

Sporting Clube de Portugal

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dat FC Famalicão1–1
  • Wvs Galatasaray3–1
  • Wvs CD Nacional2–0
  • Wat Rio Ave FC4–0
  • Wvs FC Alverca3–1

FC Arouca

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lvs CD Santa Clara1–2
  • Dat GD Estoril Praia0–0
  • Wvs CS Marítimo2–1
  • Lat FC Porto0–2
  • Wvs Moreirense FC4–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 20:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.