Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6
Sporting Clube de Braga vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sporting Clube de Braga win61%
Draw24%
GD Estoril Praia win15%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 42%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 58%
- BTTS yes
- 41%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 69%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS no
- 59%
- Expected goals
- 1.68 – 0.69
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
GD Estoril Praia have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Sporting Clube de Braga's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Sporting Clube de Braga, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.7%
- 2–013.2%
- 1–110.8%
- 0–09.3%
- 2–19.1%
- 3–07.4%
- 0–16.4%
- 3–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sporting Clube de Braga | GD Estoril Praia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.11 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 0.44 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.90 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 6 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 0% |
Sporting Clube de Braga recent form
LLLWW
GD Estoril Praia recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Sporting Clube de Braga
2W 0D 1L in the last 3 · 4 scored, 3 conceded
- Lat CF Estrela da Amadora1–2
- Wat FC Alverca2–1
- Wvs Vitória SC1–0
GD Estoril Praia
0W 1D 3L in the last 4 · 1 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs FC Arouca0–0
- Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–2
- Lvs Rio Ave FC0–2
- Lat CD Nacional0–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.