Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6

Sporting Clube de Braga vs GD Estoril Praia Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sporting Clube de Braga win61%
Draw24%
GD Estoril Praia win15%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes
41%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
59%
Expected goals
1.68 – 0.69

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

GD Estoril Praia have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given Sporting Clube de Braga's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Sporting Clube de Braga, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–015.7%
  • 2–013.2%
  • 1–110.8%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 3–07.4%
  • 0–16.4%
  • 3–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSporting Clube de BragaGD Estoril Praia
Matches played56
Points per match2.000.17
Goals per match1.000.33
Goals conceded per match0.601.50
Home / away goals scored21
Home / away goals conceded05
Last 5 points101
Last 5 goals scored52
Last 5 goals conceded37
Win percentage60%0%

Sporting Clube de Braga recent form

WWLWD

GD Estoril Praia recent form

LLDLL

Recent form

Sporting Clube de Braga

2W 0D 1L in the last 3 · 4 scored, 3 conceded

  • Lat CF Estrela da Amadora1–2
  • Wat FC Alverca2–1
  • Wvs Vitória SC1–0

GD Estoril Praia

0W 1D 3L in the last 4 · 1 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs FC Arouca0–0
  • Lat Sport Lisboa e Benfica1–2
  • Lvs Rio Ave FC0–2
  • Lat CD Nacional0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 20:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.