Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sport Lisboa e Benfica win73%
Draw17%
Vitória SC win11%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
39%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
2.39 – 0.80

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sport Lisboa e Benfica have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Sport Lisboa e Benfica, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–011.8%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–09.4%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 3–17.5%
  • 4–05.6%
  • 4–14.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSport Lisboa e BenficaVitória SC
Matches played65
Points per match2.501.00
Goals per match3.330.60
Goals conceded per match0.830.80
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points125
Last 5 goals scored133
Last 5 goals conceded54
Win percentage83%20%

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

Vitória SC recent form

WLDLD

Recent form

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat FC Porto1–3
  • Wvs Gil Vicente FC3–1
  • Wat Moreirense FC4–0
  • Wat CS Marítimo3–0
  • Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1

Vitória SC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded

  • Dvs Moreirense FC1–1
  • Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
  • Dvs Casa Pia AC0–0
  • Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
  • Wvs CD Nacional1–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.