Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win73%
Draw17%
Vitória SC win11%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS yes
- 50%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS no
- 50%
- Expected goals
- 2.40 – 0.80
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Sport Lisboa e Benfica have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Sport Lisboa e Benfica, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–011.7%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 3–09.4%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.5%
- 4–05.6%
- 4–14.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Vitória SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 9 |
| Points per match | 2.70 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 0.89 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 1 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 90% | 22% |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form
LWWWW
Vitória SC recent form
DLWDL
Recent form
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat FC Porto1–3
- Wvs Gil Vicente FC3–1
- Wat Moreirense FC4–0
- Wat CS Marítimo3–0
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
Vitória SC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs Moreirense FC1–1
- Lat Académico de Viseu FC1–2
- Dvs Casa Pia AC0–0
- Lat Sporting Clube de Braga0–1
- Wvs CD Nacional1–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.