Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6

Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
Competition
Primeira Liga
Round
Matchweek 6
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sport Lisboa e Benfica win58%
Draw24%
Gil Vicente FC win18%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Under 2.5 goals
54%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
72%
Over 3.5 goals
25%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
1.70 – 0.82

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home scoring output above the Primeira Liga average. The model credits Gil Vicente FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Sport Lisboa e Benfica, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–013.7%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–111.2%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–08.0%
  • 3–06.6%
  • 0–16.6%
  • 3–15.4%

Team comparison

StatisticSport Lisboa e BenficaGil Vicente FC
Matches played65
Points per match2.501.00
Goals per match3.330.80
Goals conceded per match0.831.00
Home / away goals scored51
Home / away goals conceded23
Last 5 points125
Last 5 goals scored134
Last 5 goals conceded55
Win percentage83%20%

Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form

WWWWL

Gil Vicente FC recent form

WDLLD

Recent form

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Moreirense FC4–0
  • Wat CS Marítimo3–0
  • Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
  • Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–2

Gil Vicente FC

1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 1 conceded

  • Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–1
  • Dat FC Famalicão0–0
  • Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.