Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs Gil Vicente FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sport Lisboa e Benfica win58%
Draw24%
Gil Vicente FC win18%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS yes
- 46%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 72%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 25%
- BTTS no
- 54%
- Expected goals
- 1.70 – 0.82
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home scoring output above the Primeira Liga average. The model credits Gil Vicente FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Sport Lisboa e Benfica's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour Sport Lisboa e Benfica, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–013.7%
- 2–011.6%
- 1–111.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 0–08.0%
- 3–06.6%
- 0–16.6%
- 3–15.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | Gil Vicente FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.70 | 1.50 |
| Goals per match | 2.80 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 8 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 2 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 90% | 40% |
Sport Lisboa e Benfica recent form
LWWWW
Gil Vicente FC recent form
WWLDW
Recent form
Sport Lisboa e Benfica
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 3 conceded
- Wat Moreirense FC4–0
- Wat CS Marítimo3–0
- Wvs GD Estoril Praia2–1
- Wat Casa Pia AC7–0
- Lat Real Madrid1–2
Gil Vicente FC
1W 1D 1L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 1 conceded
- Lvs Académico de Viseu FC0–1
- Dat FC Famalicão0–0
- Wvs Casa Pia AC2–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 18:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.