Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction

Sat 17 Oct, 20:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win46%

Draw21%

Willem II Tilburg win33%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 72%
Under 2.5 goals: 28%
BTTS yes: 71%

Over 1.5 goals: 89%
Over 3.5 goals: 52%
BTTS no: 29%
Expected goals: 2.05 – 1.71

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Willem II Tilburg have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.4%
1–18.2%
2–27.2%
1–27.0%
3–15.7%
2–04.9%
3–24.9%
1–04.8%

Team comparison

Statistic	Sparta Rotterdam	Willem II Tilburg
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.40	0.40
Goals per match	1.40	0.80
Goals conceded per match	3.00	2.40
Home / away goals scored	5	2
Home / away goals conceded	9	6
Last 5 points	2	2
Last 5 goals scored	7	4
Last 5 goals conceded	15	12
Win percentage	0%	0%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

Willem II Tilburg recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
Lat PSV1–4
Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
Dvs FC Utrecht3–3

Willem II Tilburg

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 12 conceded

Lvs Fortuna Sittard0–1
Lat AFC Ajax1–5
Dat AZ1–1
Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3
Dvs SC Heerenveen2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.