Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II Tilburg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win50%
Draw21%
Willem II Tilburg win29%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Under 2.5 goals
28%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
89%
Over 3.5 goals
52%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
2.15 – 1.61

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Willem II Tilburg have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–18.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–26.5%
  • 3–16.2%
  • 2–05.4%
  • 1–05.0%
  • 3–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSparta RotterdamWillem II Tilburg
Matches played1010
Points per match0.900.30
Goals per match1.800.90
Goals conceded per match2.703.20
Home / away goals scored95
Home / away goals conceded1319
Last 5 points71
Last 5 goals scored115
Last 5 goals conceded1220
Win percentage20%0%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DWLWL

Willem II Tilburg recent form

LLLLD

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles3–3
  • Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
  • Lat PSV1–4
  • Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
  • Lat SBV Excelsior1–2

Willem II Tilburg

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lat FC Utrecht1–3
  • Lvs Fortuna Sittard0–1
  • Lat AFC Ajax1–5
  • Dat AZ1–1
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.