Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 17:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sparta Rotterdam win37%
Draw21%
SC Heerenveen win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 56%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 1.92 – 2.05
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–27.6%
- 1–17.4%
- 2–27.3%
- 2–17.1%
- 1–35.2%
- 2–35.0%
- 3–24.7%
- 3–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sparta Rotterdam | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.90 | 1.64 |
| Goals per match | 1.80 | 2.09 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.70 | 1.45 |
| Home / away goals scored | 9 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 11 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 45% |
Sparta Rotterdam recent form
DWLWL
SC Heerenveen recent form
LWWWW
Recent form
Sparta Rotterdam
0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 14 conceded
- Lat PSV1–4
- Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
- Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
- Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
- Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3
SC Heerenveen
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded
- Dvs Telstar 19630–0
- Lvs AZ2–3
- Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2
- Lvs PEC Zwolle0–2
- Dat AFC Ajax2–2
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
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- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
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Draw
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Away
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.