Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Sparta Rotterdam vs SC Heerenveen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 17:45 (BST)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win37%
Draw21%
SC Heerenveen win42%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.92 – 2.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.6%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.1%
  • 1–35.2%
  • 2–35.0%
  • 3–24.7%
  • 3–14.6%

Team comparison

StatisticSparta RotterdamSC Heerenveen
Matches played56
Points per match0.401.00
Goals per match1.401.67
Goals conceded per match3.001.50
Home / away goals scored58
Home / away goals conceded94
Last 5 points25
Last 5 goals scored78
Last 5 goals conceded157
Win percentage0%17%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

SC Heerenveen recent form

LDLDW

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 14 conceded

  • Lat PSV1–4
  • Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
  • Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
  • Dvs FC Utrecht3–3
  • Lvs SBV Excelsior2–3

SC Heerenveen

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dvs Telstar 19630–0
  • Lvs AZ2–3
  • Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2
  • Lvs PEC Zwolle0–2
  • Dat AFC Ajax2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.