Eredivisie · Matchweek 13

Sparta Rotterdam vs AZ Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 (GMT)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 13
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win34%
Draw22%
AZ win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
70%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
30%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.93

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AZ have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–18.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–35.4%
  • 0–15.1%
  • 0–25.0%
  • 2–34.6%

Team comparison

StatisticSparta RotterdamAZ
Matches played1010
Points per match0.901.70
Goals per match1.801.80
Goals conceded per match2.701.50
Home / away goals scored97
Home / away goals conceded137
Last 5 points74
Last 5 goals scored116
Last 5 goals conceded1210
Win percentage20%50%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DWLWL

AZ recent form

LDLLW

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat ADO Den Haag1–3
  • Wat FC Groningen3–2
  • Lvs AFC Ajax1–2
  • Wvs Willem II Tilburg3–2
  • Dat Go Ahead Eagles3–3

AZ

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs FC Groningen4–3
  • Lat AFC Ajax0–1
  • Lvs FC Twente '650–2
  • Dat SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden2–2
  • Lat Feyenoord Rotterdam0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Eredivisie

NEC vs PSV

Home

16%

Draw

15%

Away

69%

Predicted score: 1–3Over 2.5: 83%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.