Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 6
Southampton FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Tue 8 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win40%
Draw23%
Swansea City AFC win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 83%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.67 – 1.57
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Southampton FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Swansea City AFC with an above-average away defensive record. Swansea City AFC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–26.7%
- 1–06.6%
- 0–16.2%
- 2–05.5%
- 0–24.8%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Swansea City AFC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.38 | 1.57 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 0.71 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 57% |
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Swansea City AFC recent form
WDLWW
Recent form
Southampton FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
- Wvs Millwall FC5–1
- Wvs Stoke City FC3–1
- Lat Watford FC1–2
Swansea City AFC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 1 conceded
- Dvs Wrexham AFC0–0
- Wvs Watford FC2–0
- Wat Derby County FC3–0
- Dvs Sheffield United FC0–0
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 8 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.