Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Southampton FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win68%
Draw18%
Portsmouth FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.44 – 1.06
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Southampton FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Portsmouth FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–17.8%
- 3–17.8%
- 1–07.4%
- 3–07.3%
- 2–25.0%
- 4–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Portsmouth FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.93 | 1.36 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 43% |
Southampton FC recent form
DWWDL
Portsmouth FC recent form
DWDWL
Recent form
Southampton FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
- Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
Portsmouth FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
- Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
- Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
- Lvs Derby County FC0–2
- Lat Bristol City FC1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
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Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.