Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Southampton FC vs Portsmouth FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 12:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win68%
Draw18%
Portsmouth FC win15%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 68%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 32%
- BTTS yes
- 59%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 46%
- BTTS no
- 41%
- Expected goals
- 2.43 – 1.06
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Southampton FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model credits Portsmouth FC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.6%
- 2–09.0%
- 1–17.9%
- 3–17.7%
- 1–07.5%
- 3–07.3%
- 2–25.1%
- 4–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Portsmouth FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 6 |
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 2.38 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 1.17 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 33% |
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Portsmouth FC recent form
LLWDD
Recent form
Southampton FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
- Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
Portsmouth FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded
- Dvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–2
- Dat Charlton Athletic FC0–0
- Wvs Cardiff City FC2–0
- Lvs Derby County FC0–2
- Lat Bristol City FC1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.