Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 18
Southampton FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 27 Nov, 20:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 18
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win58%
Draw21%
Middlesbrough FC win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 2.07 – 1.19
High confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Home scoring numbers favour Southampton FC, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. The model credits Middlesbrough FC with an above-average away defensive record. Middlesbrough FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.8%
- 1–19.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 1–08.0%
- 3–16.8%
- 2–25.8%
- 3–05.7%
- 1–25.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Middlesbrough FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.87 | 1.86 |
| Goals per match | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 13 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 50% |
Southampton FC recent form
DWWDL
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWLD
Recent form
Southampton FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat Preston North End FC0–1
- Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
- Wvs Queens Park Rangers FC4–1
- Wat West Ham United FC3–2
- Dvs Bolton Wanderers FC0–0
Middlesbrough FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded
- Dat Watford FC0–0
- Lat Wrexham AFC0–2
- Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–0
- Wat Bolton Wanderers FC5–1
- Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 6 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.