Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 7
Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win62%
Draw17%
Bristol City FC win20%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 81%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 19%
- BTTS yes
- 74%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 93%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS no
- 26%
- Expected goals
- 2.75 – 1.57
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Southampton FC have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Bristol City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–17.9%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–15.7%
- 3–25.7%
- 2–05.0%
- 4–15.0%
- 3–04.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Bristol City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.87 | 1.29 |
| Goals per match | 1.93 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 36% |
Southampton FC recent form
DWWDL
Bristol City FC recent form
LDWLL
Recent form
Southampton FC
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
- Wvs Millwall FC5–1
- Wvs Stoke City FC3–1
Bristol City FC
4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Burnley FC2–1
- Wat Preston North End FC3–1
- Wvs Portsmouth FC2–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
- Wvs Stoke City FC2–0
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
76%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.