Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 11
Southampton FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win82%
Draw10%
Bolton Wanderers FC win8%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 70%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 3.64 – 1.17
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Southampton FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Away defensive numbers work against Bolton Wanderers FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–17.8%
- 4–17.1%
- 3–06.6%
- 2–16.4%
- 4–06.0%
- 2–05.5%
- 5–15.1%
- 3–24.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Bolton Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 8 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 2.38 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.25 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 10 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 29% |
Southampton FC recent form
DDWWL
Bolton Wanderers FC recent form
LLLWW
Recent form
Southampton FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
- Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
- Dat Lincoln City FC1–1
- Dat Birmingham City FC1–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Wat Norwich City FC4–3
- Wvs Cardiff City FC1–0
- Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
- Lat Millwall FC0–4
- Lat Sheffield United FC2–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Championship
Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
60%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 58%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC
Home
74%
Draw
14%
Away
12%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 63%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Birmingham City FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
52%
Draw
23%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 60%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.