Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 11
Southampton FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Southampton FC win79%
Draw12%
Bolton Wanderers FC win9%
- Predicted score
- 3–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 84%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 16%
- BTTS yes
- 68%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 67%
- BTTS no
- 32%
- Expected goals
- 3.41 – 1.20
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Southampton FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. Away defensive numbers work against Bolton Wanderers FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Bolton Wanderers FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 3–18.0%
- 2–17.0%
- 4–16.8%
- 3–06.6%
- 2–05.8%
- 4–05.7%
- 3–24.8%
- 5–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Southampton FC | Bolton Wanderers FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.87 | 1.00 |
| Goals per match | 1.93 | 1.29 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 20 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 53% | 29% |
Southampton FC recent form
DWWDL
Bolton Wanderers FC recent form
DLLWL
Recent form
Southampton FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 4 conceded
- Wat Norwich City FC1–0
- Wvs Portsmouth FC1–0
- Lat Wrexham AFC1–2
- Wvs Bristol City FC4–1
- Wvs Swansea City AFC3–1
Bolton Wanderers FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Wolverhampton Wanderers FC3–1
- Lvs Stoke City FC1–2
- Wat Norwich City FC4–3
- Wvs Cardiff City FC1–0
- Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.