UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 5

SK Slavia Praha vs Villarreal CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 25 Nov, 17:45 (GMT)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SK Slavia Praha win44%
Draw20%
Villarreal CF win37%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
81%
Under 2.5 goals
19%
BTTS yes
79%
Over 1.5 goals
93%
Over 3.5 goals
64%
BTTS no
21%
Expected goals
2.29 – 2.10

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SK Slavia Praha have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Villarreal CF, who have shipped goals above the UEFA Champions League average on the road. Villarreal CF's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.2%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 1–26.3%
  • 1–16.0%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 3–15.2%
  • 2–35.0%
  • 1–34.4%

Team comparison

StatisticSK Slavia PrahaVillarreal CF
Matches played44
Points per match0.250.75
Goals per match1.252.00
Goals conceded per match2.253.50
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded57
Last 5 points13
Last 5 goals scored58
Last 5 goals conceded914
Win percentage0%25%

SK Slavia Praha recent form

LLDL

Villarreal CF recent form

LWLL

Recent form

SK Slavia Praha

0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 13 conceded

  • Lvs Arsenal FC1–2
  • Dat Fenerbahçe SK2–2
  • Lat Sabah FK0–2
  • Lvs Racing Club de Lens2–3
  • Lat Paphos FC1–4

Villarreal CF

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs Getafe CF2–0
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–6
  • Lvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona0–1
  • Wat Valencia CF2–1
  • Lat Liverpool FC3–4

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Wed 25 Nov, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.