Championship · Matchweek 12

Sheffield United FC vs Derby County FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 12
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sheffield United FC win40%
Draw26%
Derby County FC win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
48%
BTTS yes
56%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
30%
BTTS no
44%
Expected goals
1.43 – 1.31

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Sheffield United FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Championship baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 0–18.4%
  • 1–27.9%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 0–06.4%
  • 2–25.7%

Team comparison

StatisticSheffield United FCDerby County FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.140.71
Goals per match1.290.86
Goals conceded per match1.571.71
Home / away goals scored43
Home / away goals conceded64
Last 5 points64
Last 5 goals scored74
Last 5 goals conceded97
Win percentage29%14%

Sheffield United FC recent form

WLWLL

Derby County FC recent form

WLLLD

Recent form

Sheffield United FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat Stoke City FC1–2
  • Lvs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC0–1
  • Wat Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Lvs Norwich City FC1–3
  • Wvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–2

Derby County FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat Burnley FC1–1
  • Lvs Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC0–1
  • Lat West Ham United FC0–3
  • Wat Portsmouth FC2–0

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.