Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 5
Sevilla FC vs Valencia CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 11 Sept, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Sevilla FC win54%
Draw22%
Valencia CF win24%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 84%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.99 – 1.27
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Valencia CF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–07.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 3–16.4%
- 1–26.2%
- 2–26.1%
- 3–05.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Sevilla FC | Valencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 12 |
| Points per match | 1.36 | 0.75 |
| Goals per match | 1.36 | 0.67 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 36% | 17% |
Sevilla FC recent form
DLWLD
Valencia CF recent form
DDLWL
Recent form
Sevilla FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1
- Lvs Atlético Madrid1–3
- Wat Athletic Club3–1
- Lat RC Celta de Vigo0–1
- Lvs Real Madrid0–1
Valencia CF
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Barcelona0–5
- Lat RC Deportivo La Coruña1–3
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié0–1
- Dvs RC Celta de Vigo0–0
- Wvs Barcelona3–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 11 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.