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Primera Division · Matchweek 15

Sevilla FC vs Málaga CF Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Dec, 00:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 15
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sevilla FC win53%
Draw26%
Málaga CF win21%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
45%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
55%
Expected goals
1.54 – 0.85

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Sevilla FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Primera Division baseline. Málaga CF have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.1%
  • 1–112.0%
  • 2–010.8%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–09.2%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 3–05.5%
  • 1–25.1%

Team comparison

StatisticSevilla FCMálaga CF
Matches played1112
Points per match1.360.42
Goals per match1.360.75
Goals conceded per match1.641.92
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded611
Last 5 points52
Last 5 goals scored76
Last 5 goals conceded1011
Win percentage36%0%

Sevilla FC recent form

DLWLD

Málaga CF recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

Sevilla FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

  • Dvs Deportivo Alavés0–0
  • Lat Getafe CF1–3
  • Wvs CA Osasuna2–0
  • Lat Real Madrid1–4
  • Dat Levante UD3–3

Málaga CF

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Real Racing Club de Santander1–2
  • Lat Real Betis Balompié1–2
  • Dat Deportivo Alavés1–1
  • Lvs Real Sociedad de Fútbol2–5
  • Dvs RCD Espanyol de Barcelona1–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 15 November 2026
Last updated: 15 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.