Eredivisie · Matchweek 9

SC Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior Prediction

Fri 16 Oct, 19:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Heerenveen win28%

Draw23%

SBV Excelsior win49%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 63%
Under 2.5 goals: 37%
BTTS yes: 63%

Over 1.5 goals: 83%
Over 3.5 goals: 40%
BTTS no: 37%
Expected goals: 1.37 – 1.86

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees SC Heerenveen's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model credits SBV Excelsior with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SC Heerenveen's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

1–110.1%
1–29.4%
0–17.4%
2–16.9%
0–26.9%
2–26.4%
1–35.8%
1–05.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	SC Heerenveen	SBV Excelsior
Matches played	6	5
Points per match	1.00	1.60
Goals per match	1.67	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.50	1.40
Home / away goals scored	2	7
Home / away goals conceded	5	4
Last 5 points	5	8
Last 5 goals scored	8	10
Last 5 goals conceded	7	7
Win percentage	17%	40%

SC Heerenveen recent form

LDLDW

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

Recent form

SC Heerenveen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

Wat Sparta Rotterdam4–0
Dvs Telstar 19630–0
Lvs AZ2–3
Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2
Lvs PEC Zwolle0–2

SBV Excelsior

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

Dat AFC Ajax2–2
Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
Dat NEC2–2
Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.