Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 9
SC Heerenveen vs SBV Excelsior Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SC Heerenveen win31%
Draw23%
SBV Excelsior win45%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.40 – 1.72
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees SC Heerenveen's home attacking output as weaker than the Eredivisie baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given SC Heerenveen's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 1–29.1%
- 0–17.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–26.5%
- 2–26.4%
- 1–06.2%
- 1–35.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SC Heerenveen | SBV Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 11 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.64 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 2.09 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.45 | 2.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 12 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 1 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 20 |
| Win percentage | 45% | 20% |
SC Heerenveen recent form
LWWWW
SBV Excelsior recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
SC Heerenveen
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat PSV0–2
- Wat Sparta Rotterdam4–0
- Dvs Telstar 19630–0
- Lvs AZ2–3
- Dat Willem II Tilburg2–2
SBV Excelsior
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs FC Groningen1–5
- Dat AFC Ajax2–2
- Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
- Dat NEC2–2
- Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 25 September 2026
Last updated: 16 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.