Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

SC Freiburg vs 1. FC Union Berlin Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SC Freiburg win95%
Draw4%
1. FC Union Berlin win1%
Predicted score
4–0
Over 2.5 goals
89%
Under 2.5 goals
11%
BTTS yes
45%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Over 3.5 goals
76%
BTTS no
55%
Expected goals
4.67 – 0.61

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Freiburg have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Away defensive numbers work against 1. FC Union Berlin, who have shipped goals above the Bundesliga average on the road. SC Freiburg's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 4–010.7%
  • 5–010.0%
  • 3–09.1%
  • 6–07.8%
  • 4–16.5%
  • 5–16.0%
  • 2–05.9%
  • 3–15.5%

Team comparison

StatisticSC Freiburg1. FC Union Berlin
Matches played66
Points per match2.170.83
Goals per match2.500.83
Goals conceded per match1.002.83
Home / away goals scored110
Home / away goals conceded211
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored112
Last 5 goals conceded514
Win percentage67%17%

SC Freiburg recent form

WWDWL

1. FC Union Berlin recent form

LLLWD

Recent form

SC Freiburg

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded

  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
  • Wvs FC Schalke 042–1
  • Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
  • Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach5–0
  • Wat SC Paderborn 071–0

1. FC Union Berlin

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 14 conceded

  • Dvs Borussia Dortmund0–0
  • Wvs SV 07 Elversberg1–0
  • Lat Bayern Munich0–7
  • Lvs FC Schalke 041–3
  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen0–4

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 18 October 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
703
1X2 accuracy
47.9%
BTTS accuracy
55.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.2%
Exact score
10.5%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.