Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
SBV Excelsior vs FC Utrecht Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 13 Sept, 11:15 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SBV Excelsior win55%
Draw18%
FC Utrecht win27%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 85%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 15%
- BTTS yes
- 81%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 70%
- BTTS no
- 19%
- Expected goals
- 2.78 – 1.96
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
FC Utrecht have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given SBV Excelsior's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour SBV Excelsior, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–16.6%
- 2–26.5%
- 3–16.2%
- 3–26.0%
- 1–14.8%
- 1–24.7%
- 4–14.3%
- 2–34.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SBV Excelsior | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 1.90 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.70 | 2.80 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 1 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 20 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 30% |
SBV Excelsior recent form
LLLLL
FC Utrecht recent form
WWDLL
Recent form
SBV Excelsior
3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded
- Dat NEC2–2
- Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
- Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
- Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
- Dvs FC Volendam1–1
FC Utrecht
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 13 conceded
- Dvs Go Ahead Eagles3–3
- Lvs PSV1–6
- Dat Sparta Rotterdam3–3
- Wvs Fortuna Sittard2–0
- Wat AFC Ajax2–1
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 11:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 13 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
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SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.