Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

SBV Excelsior vs FC Utrecht Prediction

Sun 13 Sept, 11:15

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 13 Sept, 11:15 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 6
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win55%

Draw18%

FC Utrecht win27%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 85%
Under 2.5 goals: 15%
BTTS yes: 81%

Over 1.5 goals: 95%
Over 3.5 goals: 70%
BTTS no: 19%
Expected goals: 2.78 – 1.96

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

FC Utrecht have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects fewer away goals given SBV Excelsior's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour SBV Excelsior, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

2–16.6%
2–26.5%
3–16.2%
3–26.0%
1–14.8%
1–24.7%
4–14.3%
2–34.2%

Team comparison

Statistic	SBV Excelsior	FC Utrecht
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.60	1.00
Goals per match	2.00	1.80
Goals conceded per match	1.40	3.60
Home / away goals scored	3	5
Home / away goals conceded	3	9
Last 5 points	8	5
Last 5 goals scored	10	9
Last 5 goals conceded	7	18
Win percentage	40%	20%

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

FC Utrecht recent form

DLDWL

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

Dat NEC2–2
Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
Wat Sparta Rotterdam3–2
Dvs FC Volendam1–1

FC Utrecht

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 13 conceded

Dvs Go Ahead Eagles3–3
Lvs PSV1–6
Dat Sparta Rotterdam3–3
Wvs Fortuna Sittard2–0
Wat AFC Ajax2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 13 Sept, 11:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.