Eredivisie · Matchweek 11

SBV Excelsior vs FC Twente '65 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Eredivisie
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win27%
Draw21%
FC Twente '65 win52%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.49 – 2.14

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits FC Twente '65 with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given SBV Excelsior's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. FC Twente '65 arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–18.5%
  • 2–26.7%
  • 1–36.4%
  • 2–16.3%
  • 0–26.1%
  • 0–15.7%
  • 2–34.8%

Team comparison

StatisticSBV ExcelsiorFC Twente '65
Matches played57
Points per match1.602.43
Goals per match2.002.29
Goals conceded per match1.401.00
Home / away goals scored37
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points811
Last 5 goals scored109
Last 5 goals conceded75
Win percentage40%71%

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

FC Twente '65 recent form

DWWWD

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat AFC Ajax2–2
  • Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
  • Dat NEC2–2
  • Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
  • Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1

FC Twente '65

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat Fortuna Sittard1–1
  • Wvs PSV3–2
  • Wvs ADO Den Haag2–0
  • Wvs Telstar 19631–0
  • Dat FC Groningen2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 1 Nov, 13:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 October 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
582
1X2 accuracy
46.7%
BTTS accuracy
56.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.