Eredivisie · Matchweek 10

Sparta Rotterdam vs AFC Ajax Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 15:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 (GMT+0)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 10
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sparta Rotterdam win6%

Draw9%

AFC Ajax win85%

Predicted score: 1–4
Over 2.5 goals: 89%
Under 2.5 goals: 11%
BTTS yes: 68%

Over 1.5 goals: 97%
Over 3.5 goals: 76%
BTTS no: 32%
Expected goals: 1.17 – 4.05

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AFC Ajax have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. AFC Ajax's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. AFC Ajax arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

1–47.3%
1–37.2%
0–46.2%
0–36.1%
1–55.9%
1–25.3%
0–55.0%
0–24.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	Sparta Rotterdam	AFC Ajax
Matches played	5	6
Points per match	0.40	1.83
Goals per match	1.40	3.17
Goals conceded per match	3.00	1.50
Home / away goals scored	5	9
Home / away goals conceded	9	1
Last 5 points	2	10
Last 5 goals scored	7	17
Last 5 goals conceded	15	7
Win percentage	0%	50%

Sparta Rotterdam recent form

DLDLL

AFC Ajax recent form

WLWWD

Recent form

Sparta Rotterdam

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 15 conceded

Lvs SC Heerenveen0–4
Lat PSV1–4
Dvs PEC Zwolle2–2
Lat SBV Excelsior1–2
Dvs FC Utrecht3–3

AFC Ajax

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 17 scored, 7 conceded

Dvs SBV Excelsior2–2
Wvs Willem II Tilburg5–1
Wat Fortuna Sittard5–1
Lvs PSV1–3
Wat Telstar 19634–0

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.