Eredivisie · Matchweek 8

SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen Prediction

Sun 11 Oct, 15:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 11 Oct, 15:45 (BST)
Competition: Eredivisie
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SBV Excelsior win47%

Draw21%

FC Groningen win32%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 74%
Under 2.5 goals: 26%
BTTS yes: 73%

Over 1.5 goals: 90%
Over 3.5 goals: 54%
BTTS no: 27%
Expected goals: 2.12 – 1.74

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects fewer away goals given SBV Excelsior's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–18.2%
1–17.8%
2–27.2%
1–26.8%
3–15.8%
3–25.1%
2–04.7%
1–04.5%

Team comparison

Statistic	SBV Excelsior	FC Groningen
Matches played	5	6
Points per match	1.60	1.33
Goals per match	2.00	2.17
Goals conceded per match	1.40	2.00
Home / away goals scored	3	6
Home / away goals conceded	3	7
Last 5 points	8	5
Last 5 goals scored	10	9
Last 5 goals conceded	7	11
Win percentage	40%	33%

SBV Excelsior recent form

WWDLD

FC Groningen recent form

LLDDW

Recent form

SBV Excelsior

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded

Dat AFC Ajax2–2
Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
Dat NEC2–2
Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1

FC Groningen

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
Dvs FC Twente '652–2
Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
Lat PSV1–5

Where to watch (UK)

Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.