Eredivisie
FC Groningen vs SC Heerenveen
Home
24%
Draw
17%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 85%BTTS: 80%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie · Matchweek 8
SBV Excelsior vs FC Groningen Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 15:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Eredivisie
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
SBV Excelsior win47%
Draw21%
FC Groningen win32%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 26%
- BTTS yes
- 72%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 90%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 54%
- BTTS no
- 28%
- Expected goals
- 2.12 – 1.73
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model expects fewer away goals given SBV Excelsior's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.3%
- 1–17.8%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–26.7%
- 3–15.9%
- 3–25.1%
- 2–04.8%
- 1–04.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | SBV Excelsior | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.09 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 2.45 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.70 | 2.45 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 16 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 18 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 0 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 1 | 14 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 20 | 15 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 27% |
SBV Excelsior recent form
LLLLL
FC Groningen recent form
WLDLL
Recent form
SBV Excelsior
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Dat AFC Ajax2–2
- Lvs FC Utrecht1–2
- Dat NEC2–2
- Wat Willem II Tilburg3–0
- Wvs Sparta Rotterdam2–1
FC Groningen
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded
- Wvs PEC Zwolle3–0
- Dat Go Ahead Eagles1–1
- Dvs FC Twente '652–2
- Lvs Fortuna Sittard2–3
- Lat PSV1–5
Where to watch (UK)
Eredivisie matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Eredivisie
FC Twente '65 vs Willem II Tilburg
Home
91%
Draw
6%
Away
3%
- Predicted score: 4–0Over 2.5: 86%BTTS: 54%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard
Home
41%
Draw
21%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Eredivisie
SBV Excelsior vs Telstar 1963
Home
18%
Draw
20%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 62%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.