UEFA Champions League · Matchweek 3

Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 20 Oct, 17:45 (BST)
Competition
UEFA Champions League
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Sabah FK win58%
Draw21%
Borussia Dortmund win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Under 2.5 goals
35%
BTTS yes
62%
Over 1.5 goals
85%
Over 3.5 goals
43%
BTTS no
38%
Expected goals
2.13 – 1.21

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Borussia Dortmund with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Sabah FK's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 2–25.9%
  • 3–05.7%
  • 1–25.6%

Team comparison

StatisticSabah FKBorussia Dortmund
Matches played44
Points per match0.752.25
Goals per match1.001.75
Goals conceded per match2.501.25
Home / away goals scored32
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points39
Last 5 goals scored47
Last 5 goals conceded105
Win percentage25%75%

Sabah FK recent form

LWLL

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WLWW

Recent form

Sabah FK

1W 0D 1L in the last 2 · 2 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs SK Slavia Praha2–0
  • Lat Manchester United FC0–4

Borussia Dortmund

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
  • Lat FK Bodø/Glimt0–1
  • Dvs SV Werder Bremen2–2
  • Wat VfB Stuttgart1–0
  • Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

UEFA Champions League matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected Tuesday tie). Kick-off is Tue 20 Oct, 17:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 September 2026
Last updated: 20 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.