Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 6
Rio Ave FC vs CF Estrela da Amadora Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 14 Sept, 18:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Rio Ave FC win11%
Draw14%
CF Estrela da Amadora win76%
- Predicted score
- 1–3
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 64%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 60%
- BTTS no
- 36%
- Expected goals
- 1.12 – 3.04
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Rio Ave FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against CF Estrela da Amadora, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. CF Estrela da Amadora's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–38.2%
- 1–28.1%
- 0–37.3%
- 0–27.2%
- 1–46.3%
- 0–45.6%
- 1–15.3%
- 0–14.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Rio Ave FC | CF Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 40% |
Rio Ave FC recent form
WLLDL
CF Estrela da Amadora recent form
WDWDL
Recent form
Rio Ave FC
1W 0D 2L in the last 3 · 2 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat CD Santa Clara0–4
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
- Wat GD Estoril Praia2–0
CF Estrela da Amadora
2W 1D 0L in the last 3 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs Sporting Clube de Braga2–1
- Dvs FC Famalicão2–2
- Wat CD Nacional3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Mon 14 Sept, 18:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 14 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.