Primeira Liga
Vitória SC vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
62%
Draw
22%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 54%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Rio Ave FC win45%
Draw24%
CD Nacional win31%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.70 – 1.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CD Nacional, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–06.7%
- 0–16.4%
- 2–26.3%
- 3–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 11 |
| Points per match | 0.78 | 0.91 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 1.73 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 14 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 4 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 22% | 27% |
Rio Ave FC recent form
LWLLL
CD Nacional recent form
LLWLW
Recent form
Rio Ave FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat FC Alverca0–1
- Dvs CF Estrela da Amadora3–3
- Lat CD Santa Clara0–4
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
- Wat GD Estoril Praia2–0
CD Nacional
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs FC Famalicão0–4
- Lvs FC Alverca1–3
- Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
- Lvs CF Estrela da Amadora2–3
- Lat Vitória SC0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 11 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
Casa Pia AC vs Sporting Clube de Braga
Home
14%
Draw
24%
Away
62%
- Predicted score: 0–1Over 2.5: 39%BTTS: 38%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.