Primeira Liga
Sporting Clube de Braga vs Sporting Clube de Portugal
Home
29%
Draw
28%
Away
43%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 46%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Primeira Liga · Matchweek 8
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Primeira Liga
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Rio Ave FC win45%
Draw24%
CD Nacional win31%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 41%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 81%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 37%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.69 – 1.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against CD Nacional, who have shipped goals above the Primeira Liga average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–07.9%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–06.7%
- 0–16.4%
- 2–26.3%
- 3–15.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 7 |
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.40 | 2.14 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 4 | 0 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 14% |
Rio Ave FC recent form
WLLDL
CD Nacional recent form
LLLLL
Recent form
Rio Ave FC
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 12 conceded
- Lat FC Alverca0–1
- Dvs CF Estrela da Amadora3–3
- Lat CD Santa Clara0–4
- Lvs Sporting Clube de Portugal0–4
- Wat GD Estoril Praia2–0
CD Nacional
0W 0D 5L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs FC Famalicão0–4
- Lvs FC Alverca1–3
- Lat Sporting Clube de Portugal0–2
- Lvs CF Estrela da Amadora2–3
- Lat Vitória SC0–1
Where to watch (UK)
Primeira Liga matches are typically shown in the UK by Premier Sports. Kick-off is Sun 11 Oct, 15:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 20 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Primeira Liga
FC Arouca vs CF Estrela da Amadora
Home
49%
Draw
20%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 74%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.