Primera Division · Matchweek 23

Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs Real Madrid Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 2 Dec, 18:00 (GMT)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 23
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Real Sociedad de Fútbol win18%
Draw19%
Real Madrid win63%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Under 2.5 goals
30%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
49%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
1.23 – 2.38

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Real Madrid have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Real Madrid's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–29.4%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 0–27.7%
  • 1–37.5%
  • 0–16.4%
  • 0–36.1%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 2–14.9%

Team comparison

StatisticReal Sociedad de FútbolReal Madrid
Matches played1212
Points per match1.832.50
Goals per match1.752.58
Goals conceded per match1.670.83
Home / away goals scored814
Home / away goals conceded77
Last 5 points1215
Last 5 goals scored1213
Last 5 goals conceded72
Win percentage58%83%

Real Sociedad de Fútbol recent form

WWWLW

Real Madrid recent form

WWWWW

Recent form

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–0
  • Lat Athletic Club1–2
  • Wvs Levante UD2–1
  • Wat Málaga CF5–2
  • Wvs RC Deportivo La Coruña3–2

Real Madrid

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wat Valencia CF3–0
  • Wat PAE AEK3–2
  • Wat Real Racing Club de Santander3–0
  • Wat Barcelona2–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 11 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.