Primera Division · Matchweek 5

Real Racing Club de Santander vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 12 Sept, 13:00 (BST)
Competition
Primera Division
Round
Matchweek 5
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Real Racing Club de Santander win37%
Draw22%
Deportivo Alavés win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Under 2.5 goals
32%
BTTS yes
68%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
32%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.79

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Real Racing Club de Santander's home scoring output above the Primera Division average. The model credits Deportivo Alavés with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.2%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 0–15.4%
  • 1–05.1%
  • 1–34.9%
  • 0–24.8%

Team comparison

StatisticReal Racing Club de SantanderDeportivo Alavés
Matches played76
Points per match1.001.33
Goals per match1.571.33
Goals conceded per match3.001.00
Home / away goals scored72
Home / away goals conceded53
Last 5 points67
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded185
Win percentage29%33%

Real Racing Club de Santander recent form

WLWLL

Deportivo Alavés recent form

WWLLD

Recent form

Real Racing Club de Santander

1W 1D 2L in the last 4 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid2–3
  • Wvs Elche CF3–2
  • Lat Getafe CF0–1
  • Dvs Villarreal CF2–2

Deportivo Alavés

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs CA Osasuna5–2
  • Wvs Villarreal CF1–0
  • Dat Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–1
  • Lvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid1–2
  • Wat Real Oviedo1–0

Team news

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.