Primera Division
Deportivo Alavés vs RC Deportivo La Coruña
Home
35%
Draw
27%
Away
38%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 51%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division · Matchweek 8
Real Madrid vs Villarreal CF Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Kick-off (local)
- Sat 10 Oct, 21:00 (CEST)
- Competition
- Primera Division
- Round
- Matchweek 8
- Venue
- Madrid, Spain
United Matchday prediction
Real Madrid win72%
Draw15%
Villarreal CF win13%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 78%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 22%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 92%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 59%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 2.93 – 1.21
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Real Madrid have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Villarreal CF carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Real Madrid, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.3%
- 3–18.1%
- 2–06.9%
- 3–06.7%
- 4–15.9%
- 1–15.7%
- 2–25.0%
- 4–04.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Real Madrid | Villarreal CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 12 | 12 |
| Points per match | 2.50 | 1.25 |
| Goals per match | 2.58 | 1.42 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.83 | 1.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 17 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 15 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 83% | 33% |
Real Madrid recent form
WWWWW
Villarreal CF recent form
LDWLW
Recent form
Real Madrid
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Atlético Madrid1–2
- Wat Elche CF3–2
- Wvs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid4–1
- Wvs Inter Milan2–1
- Lat Real Betis Balompié0–1
Villarreal CF
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs Levante UD3–1
- Wat Málaga CF3–1
- Lvs Real Betis Balompié1–2
- Lat Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lvs RC Deportivo La Coruña2–3
Team news
Real Madrid
- Arsenal's Martin Zubimendi denies wanting to leave amid Atlético Madrid links
- Real Madrid pushing for JJ Gabriel as saga continues - Manchester United Academy Notebook
- JJ Gabriel comment ‘shocks Real Madrid’ as concern raised about Man United star’s dad
- Transfer rumors, news: Atlético Madrid weigh move for Jack Grealish
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Primera Division
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Valencia CF
Home
47%
Draw
26%
Away
27%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 49%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
Real Madrid vs RC Celta de Vigo
Home
80%
Draw
15%
Away
5%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 50%BTTS: 31%
High confidenceFull prediction
Primera Division
CA Osasuna vs Málaga CF
Home
50%
Draw
28%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 36%BTTS: 40%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.